The research record

The source record.

Inspect the source behind each claim, its strongest qualification, and the questions still open.

21records across 5 cases

3 of 21 evidence records · State support evidence gap

  1. EV-17supportsHigh confidence

    China continued national tax-preference eligibility for integrated-circuit production, design, materials, packaging, and major projects in 2024.

    National Development and Reform Commission of China and partner ministries2024 Integrated-Circuit and Software Tax-Preference Eligibility Notice (opens in new tab)
    Primary sourceGovernment policyPublished 22 Mar 2024
    Source details

    Quotation or reported data

    The eligibility notice covers production at 28 nm and below and multiple upstream inputs and services.
    Exact location
    Article 1 and attached eligibility criteria
    Source accessed
    03 Sept 2026

    Counterevidence

    Eligibility rules do not disclose recipients, award value, additionality, or a capability outcome.

    Remaining uncertainty

    No firm-level causal link to a reviewed AI-chip workaround is established.

  2. EV-18qualifiesModerate confidence

    A 2025 Hangzhou policy authorized annual compute vouchers and large-model training support, but no reviewed award record ties that support to DeepSeek-V3.

    Hangzhou Municipal People’s Government杭州市人民政府关于印发杭州市加快建设人工智能创新高地实施方案(2025年版)的通知 (Hangzhou AI innovation highland implementation plan, 2025 edition; translated title) (opens in new tab)
    Primary sourceGovernment policyPublished date unverified
    Source details

    Quotation or reported data

    Annual compute-voucher ceiling: CNY 250 million; qualifying model-training support: up to CNY 50 million.
    Exact location
    Appendix, sections (1) and (3), pages 11–12. Notice dated 13 June 2025; effective 15 July 2025. Exact publication date not verified.
    Source accessed
    22 Sept 2026

    Counterevidence

    The policy postdates the DeepSeek-V3 release and does not prove DeepSeek received a grant.

    Remaining uncertainty

    Recipients, disbursements, hardware origin, and capability produced are not public in the reviewed record.

  3. EV-19qualifiesHigh confidence

    GAO reports that BIS used interim-final rules partly to reduce pre-rule stockpiling, but this does not establish the scale of any Chinese inventory response.

    U.S. Government Accountability OfficeExport Controls: Commerce Implemented Advanced Semiconductor Rules and Took Steps to Address Compliance Challenges (opens in new tab)
    Primary sourceGovernment auditPublished 02 Dec 2024
    Source details

    Quotation or reported data

    BIS cited avoiding stockpiling as one reason for immediate enforcement.
    Exact location
    Highlights; What GAO Found, paragraphs 1–2
    Source accessed
    03 Sept 2026

    Counterevidence

    A policy concern is not evidence of actual inventory, intent, ownership, or use by a named Chinese developer.

    Remaining uncertainty

    Firm-level pre-control and legacy inventories remain largely undisclosed.

“Primary” identifies an original or official source for the recorded claim. It does not mean that the finding has been independently verified. Full JSON and CSV datasets are available below.